Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 12.195096 13.706401 15.438997 17.597492 20.251169 23.457687 27.706977
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 10.005271 11.751236 13.899560 16.805302 20.747566 26.099414 34.292836
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.930551 10.804371 13.225040 16.699075 21.779585 29.362358 42.559034
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.107298 10.023271 12.589631 16.444565 22.431863 32.115124 51.065581
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.532308 9.485187 12.183643 16.403615 23.329212 35.428464 62.165861
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.132053 9.133483 11.979829 16.604565 24.616277 39.770352 78.115676
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.634525 8.592892 11.432945 16.171275 24.702255 41.819839 90.098845
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.304828 8.263745 11.164209 16.143920 25.500828 45.597243 110.454349
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.892534 7.780525 10.612391 15.563215 25.126273 46.621568 123.043750
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.479607 7.270099 9.978536 14.770503 24.199279 46.063377 129.412784
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.142807 6.855788 9.468872 14.147856 23.528346 45.992108 138.330955
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.276933 7.165955 10.144280 15.738799 27.852894 61.203098 260.444682
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.201124 7.155376 10.309657 16.445198 30.531514 74.009592 456.600140
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.889758 6.751576 9.776616 15.719854 29.600528 73.971641 522.952876
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.707618 6.545197 9.568753 15.624330 30.248711 80.418653 782.216383
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.520354 6.319652 9.310341 15.394214 30.498973 85.561724 1168.083792
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.376906 6.157950 9.152987 15.357176 31.273556 93.810010 2215.600637
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.275249 6.059473 9.101111 15.538888 32.723967 107.027055 7816.831341
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.102889 5.833999 8.802866 15.146937 32.388619 110.377510 21085.577098
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.990776 5.705032 8.674482 15.122174 33.188445 121.683090 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.821626 5.472020 8.339465 14.595983 32.291679 121.188511 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.636855 5.206371 7.932235 13.876094 30.667027 114.740571 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 3.480407 4.984707 7.599561 13.309325 29.482586 111.059774 NaN